Key risk: Low polling numbers in critical states
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:51:39 AM
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+1.9
Opportunity
1.9
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market assigns a negligible 0.10% probability to Nikki Haley dropping out of the 2024 U.S. presidential race before the end of February 2024. This reflects strong market confidence in her continued participation, despite her recent primary challenges.
Nikki Haley maintains campaign momentum by securing key endorsements, improving fundraising, and appealing to moderate Republican voters. Her strong debate performances and strategic state-level targeting could sustain her viability through February 2024.
Declining poll numbers, underwhelming primary results, or financial constraints may force Haley to reassess her campaign. Internal party pressure or strategic withdrawals by other candidates could accelerate her exit decision.
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Will Nikki Haley drop out of the race for President before the end of Feb 2024? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from manifold. Current market-implied probability is 0.1% while ORYN AI estimates 2%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
