Trust & Explainability
How ORYN Generates Intelligence
ORYN is a forecasting intelligence network — not a betting platform. Every probability, signal, and brief is attributed, timestamped, and confidence-scored.
Data Sources
ORYN aggregates open forecasts from Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, and Manifold. Exclusive ORYN-native forecasts cover India, UAE, Singapore, and Southeast Asia. News enrichment via RSS and curated feeds.
Sync & Freshness
Markets sync every 15 minutes. AI analysis refreshes daily. Signal scores recompute on market moves and news ingest. Future indexes compute daily at 02:00 UTC.
AI Perspective
ORYN Router selects Claude, Gemini, GPT-4o, DeepSeek, Groq, and others by task. Bull case, bear case, drivers, and risks are structured — not black-box percentages.
Crowd Consensus
Crowd probability reflects aggregated market-implied consensus from external venues, normalized to a single ORYN forecast object.
Signal Score
Signal = AI perspective minus crowd consensus (percentage points). Opportunity combines divergence magnitude with confidence. Momentum tracks signal velocity over time.
Confidence
Confidence scores reflect model certainty, data freshness, and market liquidity proxies. High conviction requires both strong confidence and meaningful divergence.
Not financial advice. ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. Explore forecasts →