This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: data revision delays or errors in Wunderground records
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:07:54 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Austin's highest temperature on June 26, 2026, being between 102-103°F is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 0.20%. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this range is rare for late June in Austin.
Unseasonably hot conditions, prolonged heatwave, or climate anomalies could push temperatures into the 102-103°F range. Austin historically records temperatures above 100°F in June, with rare peaks near 104°F, making this scenario plausible but improbable.
Typical late-June temperatures in Austin average around 94-98°F, with extreme highs rarely exceeding 102°F. The market's resolution source (Wunderground) measures whole degrees, reducing precision for narrow ranges like 102-103°F.
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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 26? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.2% while ORYN AI estimates 0.2%.
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