Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential disqualification due to legal challenges or ineligibility
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:07:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
429d
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
90 points
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Victoria Villarruel has a 0.40% market probability of winning the 2027 Argentina presidential election, indicating extremely low confidence in her candidacy. The market suggests other candidates or parties are overwhelmingly favored in the current political landscape.
Villarruel could gain traction if economic instability worsens under the current government, leading to a populist shift toward her hardline security platform. A fragmented opposition or strong grassroots movement could also propel her candidacy. Foreign policy shifts, such as increased alignment with Western anti-leftist movements, might bolster her appeal.
Villarruel's far-right positions may alienate moderate voters, particularly in urban centers where her anti-establishment rhetoric could backfire. The Peronist coalition or center-left parties likely retain structural advantages in Argentine politics. Legal or ethical controversies could derail her campaign before the election.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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