Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation/postponement affecting resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:32:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
51%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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Unrelated to Global Events: The announcers saying 'Qatar' or 'Russia' during the match is also unrelated to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 or The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping being the top grossing movie of 2026.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to US Politics: The outcome of the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match announcers saying 'Qatar' or 'Russia' is unrelated to the 2024 US Presidential Election, Ro Khanna's 2028 US Presidential Election chances, Nikki Haley's 2028 Republican presidential nomination chances.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 48-54
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
18 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the Switzerland vs Algeria match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market has a slight bullish lean (53.50%) toward the term 'Qatar' being mentioned during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup 2026 match broadcast. The outcome hinges on live commentary during the match, excluding pre/post-match segments.
Qatar may be mentioned due to its hosting role in the 2026 World Cup, prompting commentators to reference host nations during the broadcast. Algeria’s historical or cultural ties to Qatar (e.g., diplomatic relations, football connections) could also prompt mentions by analysts.
The term 'Russia' may dominate mentions if commentators reference past World Cup hosts (2018) or geopolitical contexts involving Russia and Algeria. Alternatively, if the broadcast focuses narrowly on match dynamics, neither term may be mentioned.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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