Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match outcome or score could reduce corner kick frequency
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:15:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
65%
ORYN Consensus
65%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 62-68
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the Colombia vs Portugal match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a 64.5% probability that the term 'Corner' will be mentioned 15+ times during the FOX broadcast of the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup 2026 match. The analysis hinges on broadcast-specific factors, including the match's dynamic nature and the likelihood of corner kicks occurring frequently in a high-stakes World Cup fixture.
A high-scoring or fast-paced match between Colombia and Portugal would likely generate numerous corner kicks, increasing the likelihood of the term being mentioned 15+ times. Colombia's attacking style and Portugal's defensive vulnerabilities could contribute to a higher-than-average corner count, aligning with the 64.5% probability.
A low-scoring or tactical match with fewer goal-scoring opportunities might result in fewer corner kicks, reducing the chances of the term being mentioned 15+ times. Additionally, if the match is disrupted or abbreviated, the total number of corners could fall short of the threshold, driving the probability lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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