Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: One-sided play keeping sets short (bagel/breadstick sets)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4955% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:31:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.5
Opportunity
32.2
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
2028 US Republican presidential nomination - Winner
correlates · strength 60%
2026 Top Grossing Movie - The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
correlates · strength 60%
2024 US Presidential Election - Winner
correlates · strength 60%
2028 US Presidential Election - Winner
correlates · strength 60%
Shcherbinina vs. Lutkemeyer: Match O/U 21.5 - Win/Draw/Loss
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,069,289
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4955.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Shcherbinina and Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer in the ITF San Diego, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market prices Over 21.5 total games at just 0.45%, implying an extremely high conviction in a quick, straight-sets match. Given typical ITF women's matches average 18–22 games, this near-zero probability seems overconfident. A three-setter or tiebreak-heavy set would push the total above 21.5.
If the match extends to three sets or features multiple tiebreaks, the game count can easily exceed 22. Both players are of similar caliber, which could lead to competitive sets and longer games, pushing the total over the line.
Many ITF singles matches end in straight sets with one dominant player, producing game counts like 6-1,6-3 (16 games) or 6-4,6-4 (20 games). The market expects such a lopsided outcome, making Under 21.5 the heavy favorite.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
