Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution deadline
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:46:04 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 - The market for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping's top grossing movie of 2026 may be influenced by the popularity of the series, which could also affect the market for Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
correlates · strength 60%
Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 - The market for Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 may be influenced by the performance of other tennis players, which could also affect the market for Ro Khanna's 2028 US Presidential Election chances
correlates · strength 60%
Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 - The outcome may be impacted by the performance of other players, which could also affect the market for the 2024 US Presidential Election
correlates · strength 60%
Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 - The overall outcome may be influenced by external factors, which could also impact the market for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
correlates · strength 60%
Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 - Inoue's performance may affect the overall outcome, influencing the market for Kubareva's chances of winning
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,446,153
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kubareva and Hina Inoue in the ITF Elvas, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Kubareva vs. Inoue: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5' is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with an extremely low probability (0.05%) assigned to the 'Over' outcome. The resolution hinges on the total games played in the second set of their ITF Elvas match, with a 50-50 split in case of incomplete or canceled matches.
A bullish outcome ('Over 10.5') could materialize if both players engage in an aggressive, high-rally style, leading to frequent breaks and extended rallies. Kubareva's baseline consistency or Inoue's serve-and-volley approach may also contribute to a higher game total. Historically, ITF matches at this level often feature tight contests with 11+ games in a set, especially in clay court conditions.
The 'Under 10.5' outcome is likely if the match is decided in straight sets with one player dominating, leading to fewer games played in set 2. A quick first-set loss by either player could truncate set 2, reducing the total games. Additionally, rain delays or player injuries may prevent set 2 from being completed, defaulting to a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.