Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:30:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
37%
ORYN Consensus
35%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 34-40
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
30 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Jorge and Hiromi Abe in the ITF Elvas, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set games total in the Jorge vs. Abe tennis match is currently priced at 35% for 'Over 8.5 games', indicating a slight bearish sentiment favoring fewer games in the first set. The outcome is highly dependent on match dynamics, player styles, and potential external disruptions.
A high-scoring first set with aggressive baseline play or a long rally-heavy match could push the total games to 9 or above. If both players are serving well but frequently break each other, the set could extend beyond 8.5 games, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
A dominant server or a quick straight-sets victory (e.g., 6-2 or 6-3) would likely result in fewer than 9 total games in the first set, favoring the 'Under' outcome. Additionally, rain delays or early match abandonment could trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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