Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: lack_of_historical_data
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:20:49 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Dimitris Azoidis in the ITF Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Giotis vs. Azoidis tennis match Over/Under 22.5 games is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited available data on player styles or recent form. The resolution hinges on match dynamics, with no clear favorite favoring either outcome.
A bullish outcome (Over 22.5 games) could materialize if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to extended sets with multiple breaks. High-altitude conditions in Kayseri may also slow ball speed, increasing rally length.
A bearish outcome (Under 22.5 games) is plausible if either player dominates with powerful serves and quick points, or if the match features short, decisive sets with minimal breaks. Weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat) could also shorten play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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