Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected competitive balance leading to a tiebreak
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:32:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,505,203
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Savannah Broadus and Fangran Tian in the ITF Cary, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market implies an overwhelming 99.95% probability that the first set will go under 9.5 games, indicating extreme confidence in a lopsided set. This likely reflects a significant skill gap between Broadus and Tian, making a blowout scoreline highly probable. The near-zero implied probability for the over suggests the market sees virtually no chance of a competitive, tiebreak-driven set.
If the players prove evenly matched, the set could go to a tiebreak (counted as one game), pushing the total to 13+ games. A surprise competitive dynamic or one player struggling with nerves could lead to a longer set than expected. The 0.05% price creates a massive asymmetric payout if an upset occurs.
The market is pricing the under at 99.95%, reflecting strong consensus that one player dominates and wins 6-0, 6-1, or 6-2. ITF women's matches often feature wide gaps in quality, and first-set blowouts are common. The risk of a quick set forcing under 9.5 games is extremely high.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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