Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected injury or weather delay affecting player performance
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:33:10 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,179,869
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Savannah Broadus and Fangran Tian in the ITF Cary, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market bets on whether the first set of the Broadus vs. Tian match will have 11 or more games. With a market-implied probability of just 0.05%, the Under is heavily favored, reflecting expectations of a dominant performance by one player. The analysis considers player form, rankings, and typical set structures in women's tennis.
If both players are evenly matched and hold serve consistently, the set could extend to 6-4 or 7-5, surpassing the 10.5 game threshold. A tiebreak would also push the total to at least 13 games. An unexpected competitive showing by Broadus or a slow start by Tian could lead to a longer set.
The market strongly expects a lopsided first set, likely ending 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, or 6-3, keeping the game total well below 11. This is typical in women's tennis when there is a significant ranking or skill gap. Historical data for similar matchups suggests blowouts are far more common than close first sets.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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