Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: data_revision_uncertainty
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:15:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.7
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
The political nominations and elections, such as Nikki Haley's potential nomination or Ro Khanna's election, do not influence weather patterns or temperature in Los Angeles.
correlates · strength 60%
The outcome of the 2022-2023 NBA season for the Golden State Warriors has no bearing on the temperature in Los Angeles on June 28, as sports outcomes and weather are unrelated.
correlates · strength 60%
The box office performance of The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in 2026 has no connection to the temperature in Los Angeles on a specific day in June, as these events are independent.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Weather in Los Angeles does not directly correlate with the 2024 US Presidential Election or the 2028 US Presidential Election, as these are separate events influenced by distinct factors.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 70.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
6 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates an extremely low probability (0.30%) that the highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 28, 2026, will be 63°F or below. Historical climatological data and seasonal trends strongly favor higher temperatures during late June in LA.
A rare weather anomaly, such as an unexpected cold front or marine layer surge, could push daily highs below 63°F. Unseasonably cool ocean temperatures or an unusual atmospheric pressure system might also contribute to this outcome.
Climatological norms for late June in Los Angeles favor highs in the mid-70s°F, with rare occurrences of temperatures below 63°F. Persistent high-pressure systems or heat domes would further suppress the likelihood of such a low maximum temperature.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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