Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data revision delays or inaccuracies from Wunderground
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:15:13 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.8
Opportunity
0.6
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
long-term
correlates · strength 60%
low probability
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 75.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
7 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 1.55% probability that the highest temperature in London on June 27, 2026, will reach 34°C, based on historical temperature trends and current weather forecasting models. This low probability reflects the rarity of such extreme temperatures in London during late June.
A bullish outcome could result from an unprecedented heatwave in the UK, driven by climate change-induced temperature spikes or unusual atmospheric conditions like a strong high-pressure system. Persistent southerly winds bringing hot air from continental Europe could also push temperatures to 34°C.
A bearish outcome is more likely given London's historical climate data, which rarely records temperatures above 30°C in late June. Cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures or persistent cloud cover could suppress temperatures below 34°C. Additionally, any revisions to historical data post-resolution could lower the probability further.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.