Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or fatigue affecting Haaland's performance
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:49:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
16%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 13-19
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erling Haaland records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Erling Haaland scoring 1+ goals in the Norway vs. France FIFA World Cup match on June 26 is currently priced at 16.00%, indicating low market confidence in this outcome. The low probability reflects Haaland's inconsistent form in major tournaments and France's historically strong defensive record.
Haaland has the individual skill and physicality to exploit France's defense, especially if Norway employs a high-pressing system that creates turnovers in dangerous areas. Norway's reliance on Haaland as a focal point could force defensive errors, and his recent club form (e.g., Premier League goals) suggests he is in good scoring rhythm.
France's defensive organization under Didier Deschamps is elite, with players like Varane and Upamecano providing aerial dominance and Mbappe adding pace to counter attacks. Haaland has struggled in past international tournaments (0 goals in Euro 2020/2024 qualifiers), and Norway's lack of creative midfielders may limit his scoring opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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