Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
Calibrated 100% · raw 700% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:00:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
53%
Signal Score
+7.0
Opportunity
5.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,834,930
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 700.0¢
Entry: 43-49
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Syntax and Invision in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for June 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Syntax" if Team Syntax wins 2 or more games than Invision in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Invision". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Team Syntax (STX) with a 53% probability to win by a margin of 2 or more games in their Dota 2 match against Invision. The market reflects slight optimism for STX's performance in this Group B match of the European Pro League.
Team Syntax (STX) is favored to win by a significant margin due to recent form, roster strength, or strategic advantages. Invision's perceived weaknesses or recent underperformance could contribute to STX's ability to secure a 2+ game victory.
Invision may outperform expectations, leveraging strong drafting, meta adaptation, or STX's potential fatigue or internal issues. A close series or upset could result in STX failing to meet the handicap requirement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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