This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Key risk: Tracker malfunction (Xtracker.polymarket or X itself)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:09:05 PM
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between June 19, 12:00 PM ET and June 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market overwhelmingly favors that CZ will not post 180-199 times on X between June 19-26, 2026, with a near-zero resolution probability. Historical and behavioral patterns suggest such volume is implausible.
CZ could surpass 180 posts if he leverages X for a high-frequency campaign (e.g., daily market updates, AMA threads, or viral content). Unusual personal engagement or Binance-related announcements might drive outliers.
CZ’s posting frequency has historically averaged 10-30 posts weekly, with spikes rarely exceeding 50. A 180+ post week would require an unsustainable volume, likely viewed as spam or algorithmic manipulation.
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Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.1% while ORYN AI estimates 0.1%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
