Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 4195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 11:15:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
42%
Signal Score
+42.0
Opportunity
27.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
No direct correlation with 2024 US Presidential Election, 2028 US Presidential Election, or 2028 Republican presidential nomination: These are unrelated political events.
correlates · strength 60%
No direct correlation with The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping box office performance: This is an unrelated entertainment event.
correlates · strength 60%
Inverse correlation with Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch: If Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs roamsfiest (+1.5) indicates a strong performance by JS, it may reflect positively on the overall esports and gaming market, potentially influencing the success of Predict.fun.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4195.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
17 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Johnny Speeds and roamsfiest in the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Johnny Speeds" if Johnny Speeds wins 2 or more maps than roamsfiest in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "roamsfiest". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Johnny Speeds (-1.5) to win the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal by a margin of at least 2 maps, though the market probability is extremely low (0.05%). The handicap structure significantly reduces the likelihood of resolution.
Johnny Speeds may outperform expectations in a close match, leveraging strong individual performance or team synergy to overcome the handicap. External factors such as roamsfiest's fatigue or in-game adjustments could play to Johnny Speeds' advantage.
roamsfiest is favored to win by a margin of at least 2 maps, aligning with the handicap. Potential factors include Johnny Speeds' inconsistent form, roamsfiest's strategic depth, or external pressures like travel fatigue or recent losses.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.