Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment or cancellation (resolves to Draw)
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:16:04 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
48%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.8
Graph Relationships
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T20 World Cup: Top Batter Draw is related to the outcome of the match Sri Lanka vs Scotland
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Sri Lanka and Scotland scheduled for 2026-06-26 in ICC T20 World Cup, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Sri Lanka. The outcome corresponding to Scotland will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Scotland. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the ICC T20 Women's World Cup match between Sri Lanka and Scotland (2026-06-26) shows a near-even split with a slight preference for Scotland's top batter to score the highest individual runs (47.50% vs. 52.50% implied for Sri Lanka). The draw scenario (highest score shared) is the most probable outcome.
Sri Lanka's top batter could dominate due to their historically stronger batting lineup in T20I Women's cricket, with players like Chamari Athapaththu known for explosive performances. Scotland's batting lineup, while improving, may lack the depth to consistently outscore Sri Lanka's top-order. Home advantage (if applicable) or favorable pitch conditions could further favor Sri Lanka.
Scotland's top batter may outperform expectations due to exceptional form or conditions favoring their playing style (e.g., power-hitting on flat tracks). Sri Lanka's top batter could underperform due to pressure, injuries, or tactical bowling from Scotland. Scotland's recent improvements in T20I Women's cricket (e.g., 2023 World Cup performances) reduce the gap.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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