Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_postponement
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:31:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
27%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 24-30
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Mi New York scheduled for 2026-07-02 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the toss winner between Seattle Orcas and Mi New York shows a 28% probability for either team, indicating no strong consensus. The outcome depends solely on the pre-match coin toss result as per official records.
Seattle Orcas may have a slight edge due to home advantage in the Seattle venue, which could influence local fan support and team morale during the toss decision. A favorable toss could set the tone for their performance in the match.
Mi New York could be favored due to their stronger overall team composition or recent form, making them the more likely toss winner. External factors like weather conditions or pitch reports might also play a role in the toss decision.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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