Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen match delays or cancellations
Calibrated 100% · raw 480% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:30:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+4.8
Opportunity
4.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Tennis: Wu vs. Djokovic: To Win Match
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Tennis: Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 4 Correct Score
correlates · strength 60%
Tennis: Wu vs. Djokovic: Total Games Over/Under
correlates · strength 60%
Tennis: Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 4 Winner
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 480.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Wu vs. Djokovic: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5' at Wimbledon 2026 shows an extremely low probability (0.30%) of the total games in set 4 reaching or exceeding 11. This reflects strong market confidence in a low-scoring set 4, likely due to Djokovic's dominance and Wu's lower ranking.
A high-scoring set 4 (Over 10.5 games) could occur if Wu plays aggressively, Djokovic struggles with form, or external factors (e.g., weather delays) disrupt the match flow. Wu's occasional baseline rallies or Djokovic's unforced errors might push the total over the threshold.
A low-scoring set 4 (Under 10.5 games) is highly probable given Djokovic's elite defense, consistency, and Wu's lower ATP ranking (likely 100+). Djokovic often wins sets quickly, and Wu may lack the firepower to extend games, especially in a high-pressure Grand Slam match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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