Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: injury_or_fatigue
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:45:50 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Match Winner
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Set 3 Correct Score
correlates · strength 60%
Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Total Sets
correlates · strength 60%
Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Set 3 Winner
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Wawrinka vs. Berrettini: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5' is near-neutral at 50.45%, reflecting balanced expectations for an over/under outcome in set 3 games. The resolution hinges on match dynamics and player endurance in a high-stakes Wimbledon encounter.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) is supported by the high-energy playing styles of both Wawrinka and Berrettini, known for lengthy rallies and physical resilience. A close, competitive set 3 with potential tiebreaks could push the total games to 10+. Historical data from their past encounters (if any) may also favor longer sets.
A bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) is plausible if either player dominates early, leading to a quick set 3 conclusion. Fatigue or injury mid-match could shorten the set, while a lopsided scoreline (e.g., 6-1) would cap the game total below 10. External factors like weather delays or medical timeouts could also truncate play.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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