Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay_beyond_resolution_window
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:19:59 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Correlated with Uchida vs. Kennedy: Match Winner
correlates · strength 60%
Correlated with Uchida vs. Kennedy: Match Spread
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Kennedy and Kaichi Uchida in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Kennedy vs. Uchida match total games Over/Under 22.5 is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty in predicting the exact game count. The neutral probability suggests no clear favorite in terms of match length, given limited head-to-head data and varying playing styles.
A bullish outcome (Over 22.5) could result from an aggressive baseline rally style, frequent tiebreaks, or an extended match with multiple sets. Kennedy's recent form (if stronger) or Uchida's tendency for long rallies may favor a higher game total.
A bearish outcome (Under 22.5) may occur if either player dominates with quick service holds or short, efficient sets. Weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat) or tactical play (e.g., serve-and-volley) could also suppress the total game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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