Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment (injury/retirement)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:46:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Gurri vs. Gueymard-Wayenburg match total games Over/Under 21.5 is evenly split at 50%, indicating no strong consensus on the match's total games. The resolution hinges on whether the match exceeds 22 games, with tiebreaks counting as one game each.
The bull case anticipates a high-scoring match with aggressive playstyles from both players, leading to extended rallies and frequent tiebreaks. Gurri's baseline consistency and Gueymard-Wayenburg's potential for powerful serves could contribute to a game-rich encounter, favoring the 'Over' outcome.
The bear case suggests a tightly contested match with efficient serving and minimal unforced errors, resulting in fewer total games. Both players' defensive strengths and lower first-serve win percentages could suppress the game count, pushing the market toward 'Under.'
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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