Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:01:01 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.4
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Indirect Relationship via General Public Interest in Competitive Events
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -40.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Anna Bondar in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is highly skewed toward the 'Over' outcome (99.55%) for Sierra vs. Bondar's set 2 games O/U 10.5, indicating strong confidence in a high-scoring second set. The near-certainty suggests minimal perceived risk of match interruption or early conclusion.
The bull case assumes an aggressive playing style from both players, leading to frequent breaks and extended rallies, which would push the game total over 11. Sierra and Bondar's historical performance in tight sets or high-pressure matches supports this outcome.
The bear case hinges on a dominant server or early set conclusion (e.g., one player winning set 2 6-0 or 6-1), resulting in fewer than 11 games. External factors like weather delays or player injury could also truncate the set, triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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