Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or retirement during the match
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:47:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
61%
ORYN Consensus
61%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
r4
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,452,467
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 57-64
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
20 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yasmine Kabbaj and Lucie Nguyen Tan in the ITF Women Aix-Les-Bains, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market pits Yasmine Kabbaj against Lucie Nguyen Tan in an ITF Women's match. Kabbaj, with higher career-high ranking and more ITF experience, is currently favored at 61%. The relatively modest probability for a higher-ranked player suggests some uncertainty, possibly due to Nguyen Tan's home-court advantage or clay-court comfort.
Kabbaj's higher ranking (career-high 338 vs 422) and broader ITF experience give her a clear edge in class. She has faced tougher competition and should be able to dictate play, especially if she adapts well to the clay surface.
Nguyen Tan is playing in France, likely on clay, which suits her game. She may be more comfortable on the surface and could feed off home support. Additionally, if Kabbaj is out of form or struggling with conditions, Nguyen Tan could pull an upset.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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