Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/26/2026, 12:56:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Bennani and Johan Nikles in the ITF Tanger, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Bennani vs. Nikles tennis match Over/Under 21.5 games is marginally favoring the 'Under' outcome at 49.00%, indicating a near-even split in expectations. The match's resolution hinges on total games played, with tiebreaks counting as one game each.
A bullish outlook suggests the match could exceed 21.5 games due to high-intensity playstyles or extended rallies, particularly if both players are aggressive baseline hitters or if the match features multiple tiebreaks. Bennani's clay-court proficiency may prolong rallies, increasing game totals.
A bearish scenario anticipates a low-scoring, tactical match with fewer games, such as if either player dominates with quick serves and winners or if the surface (likely clay) slows play, reducing extended exchanges. Early retirements or walkovers could also push the total under 22.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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