This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: late monsoon transition
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:45:12 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market reflects a low probability (27.5%) that Singapore's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will reach 32°C. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this outcome is unlikely but not impossible.
Singapore could experience 32°C on June 27, 2026, due to an unseasonably strong southwesterly monsoon surge, prolonged dry conditions, or urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures. A delayed monsoon transition or regional heatwave could also drive the temperature to this threshold.
Historical data indicates June temperatures in Singapore typically range between 28-31°C, with 32°C being rare. Persistent cloud cover, increased rainfall from the southwest monsoon, or cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures could suppress the maximum temperature below 32°C.
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Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 27.5% while ORYN AI estimates 28%.
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