Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late monsoon transition
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:45:12 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 25-31
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a low probability (27.5%) that Singapore's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will reach 32°C. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this outcome is unlikely but not impossible.
Singapore could experience 32°C on June 27, 2026, due to an unseasonably strong southwesterly monsoon surge, prolonged dry conditions, or urban heat island effects amplifying temperatures. A delayed monsoon transition or regional heatwave could also drive the temperature to this threshold.
Historical data indicates June temperatures in Singapore typically range between 28-31°C, with 32°C being rare. Persistent cloud cover, increased rainfall from the southwest monsoon, or cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures could suppress the maximum temperature below 32°C.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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