This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Revisions to historical temperature data post-resolution
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:45:40 PM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
19%
ORYN Consensus
19%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a low 18.85% probability that Lucknow's highest temperature on June 27, 2026, will reach 39°C, based on historical climate data trends and seasonal averages for the region.
June 2026 could see an early heatwave due to delayed monsoon onset or stronger-than-average solar radiation, pushing temperatures toward 39°C. Unusually dry soil conditions or urban heat island effects in Lucknow may exacerbate peak temperatures.
Climate trends suggest a mild monsoon onset in 2026, with frequent cloud cover or pre-monsoon rainfall suppressing peak temperatures below 39°C. Historical data for Lucknow in late June averages closer to 36-38°C, making 39°C an outlier.
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Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 18.9% while ORYN AI estimates 18.9%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
