Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable referee decisions affecting goal-scoring opportunities
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:34:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
11%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Soccer Match: Algeria vs Austria
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 8-14
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uruguay vs. Spain match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?' reflects a low-probability outcome (10.50%) for this specific scoreline in the Uruguay vs. Spain match. Historical head-to-head dynamics and team strengths suggest this score is plausible but not favored.
Uruguay's defensive resilience and Spain's attacking prowess could align for a 1-2 result, especially if Spain dominates possession and creates multiple chances, while Uruguay capitalizes on set-pieces or counterattacks. Spain's recent form and offensive firepower increase the likelihood of this outcome.
Spain's high possession-based style may struggle against Uruguay's compact midfield, leading to fewer goals. Uruguay's defensive organization and potential counterattacking threats could limit Spain to a single goal, resulting in a lower-scoring draw or 1-0 victory. Injuries or suspensions could also disrupt either team's game plan.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
