Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_red_cards
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:49:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
20%
ORYN Consensus
18%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.2
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Soccer Match Outcome: Uruguay vs Spain
correlates · strength 60%
Soccer Match Outcome: Norway vs France
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 16-22
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Algeria and Austria, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Algeria vs. Austria match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a 0-0 draw between Algeria and Austria in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows a 19.50% probability, indicating low market confidence in a scoreless draw. Historical World Cup data suggests such outcomes are relatively rare in group-stage matches.
Algeria and Austria may struggle to break down each other's defenses due to tactical disciplined play, weather conditions, or referee enforcement reducing attacking opportunities. A stalemate could also result from both teams prioritizing defensive solidity to secure points in a high-stakes group stage.
Offensive firepower from either side or a high-pressing strategy could lead to goals, making a 0-0 draw unlikely. Algeria's recent attacking form and Austria's inconsistent defensive record in competitive matches suggest a non-scoreless outcome is more probable.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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