Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:49:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
11%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 8-14
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Norway vs. France match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low probability (10.50%) that Norway will lose to France 0-2 in their FIFA World Cup match on June 26, 2026. Historical and current form suggests France is heavily favored, but the exact score remains uncertain.
France's strong attacking lineup and recent World Cup performance could secure a dominant 0-2 victory. Norway's defensive vulnerabilities may lead to multiple goals, validating the market's resolution.
Norway's defensive resilience or France's lack of clinical finishing could result in a lower-scoring match or a draw, making the 0-2 outcome unlikely. External factors like injuries or tactical adjustments may also disrupt the prediction.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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