Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Iraq's potential to frustrate Senegal with defensive tactics
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:34:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
20%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Market Volatility
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 16-22
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Senegal vs. Iraq match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a Senegal 3-0 Iraq win in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match has a low probability of 19.50%, reflecting skepticism toward a dominant Senegalese victory. The market excludes extra time and penalties, focusing solely on the 90-minute + stoppage time result.
Senegal's strong attacking lineup and recent form could overwhelm Iraq defensively, especially if key Iraqi players are unavailable due to injuries or suspensions. A high-scoring Senegalese performance in early group-stage matches might pressure Iraq into defensive errors, enabling a 3-0 outcome.
Iraq's defensive resilience and counterattacking potential could stifle Senegal, particularly if the match is tactical and low-scoring. Senegal's inconsistent away performances in past tournaments raise doubts about their ability to secure a multi-goal win against a competitive opponent.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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