Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key players before the match
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:49:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
8%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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Strategic Flexibility
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Technological Advancements
correlates · strength 60%
Uncertainty
correlates · strength 60%
Economic Uncertainty
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Iraq wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a low probability (7.5%) of Iraq winning their game on June 26, 2026, based on current predictive sentiment. This suggests a significant underdog status or perceived weakness in Iraq's performance relative to their opponent.
Iraq could win if key players recover from injuries, tactical adjustments outperform expectations, or external factors (e.g., opponent fatigue) reduce their effectiveness. A strong home advantage or favorable referee decisions might also tilt the odds.
Iraq’s poor recent form, lack of depth in squad selection, or a high-quality opponent’s dominance could lead to a loss. Additionally, logistical issues, weather conditions, or unexpected suspensions might further hinder their chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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