Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Strong goalkeeping performances
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:00:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| gemini | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
45%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
**Domain-Specific Expertise Requirement:** Successful forecasting in each market necessitates distinct sets of specialized knowledge and analytical frameworks pertinent to its specific field (e.g., sports analytics, geopolitical analysis, tech market trends, energy economics, crypto fundamentals).
correlates · strength 60%
**Shared Prediction Market Structure:** Despite the disparate subject matter, all listed markets operate under the fundamental mechanics of prediction markets, aggregating participant beliefs into probabilities for future events.
correlates · strength 60%
**Domain Heterogeneity:** The primary market ('South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score') is a sports outcome market, while the 'related' markets encompass geopolitics, technology platform growth, commodity prices, and crypto valuation. There are no direct thematic or causal links between the content of these diverse domains.
correlates · strength 60%
**Varying Forecasting Horizons:** The markets exhibit a wide range of forecasting horizons, from immediate (sports match) to medium-term (crude oil by June, Manifold.love by Feb) to long-term (Strait of Hormuz by 2026), influencing the nature of information relevant for prediction.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 42-48
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both South Africa and Canada each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market assesses the probability of both South Africa and Canada scoring at least one goal in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match. With a current market probability of 44%, the market slightly favors the outcome where at least one team fails to score. The resolution depends on the offensive and defensive performances of both national teams.
The bull case for 'Yes' relies on both teams demonstrating sufficient offensive prowess and exploiting potential defensive vulnerabilities. An open game, possibly initiated by an early goal or a need for a result, could lead to more attacking play and opportunities for both sides to find the net. Recent form or tactical approaches favoring attacking football would support this outcome.
The bear case for 'No' suggests that at least one team will fail to score, possibly due to strong defensive organization, a conservative tactical approach, or a lack of clinical finishing. A cagey affair, where both teams prioritize not conceding, or a dominant defensive performance from one side could result in a low-scoring match or a clean sheet.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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