Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable referee decisions
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:34:09 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
57%
ORYN Consensus
57%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 54-60
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Belgium score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Belgium score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Belgium's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates a 57% probability that Belgium will score 3 or more goals against New Zealand in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match, favoring the 'Over' outcome. This reflects Belgium's strong offensive reputation relative to New Zealand's defensive vulnerabilities.
Belgium's high-scoring attack, led by players like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne, has a strong chance to exceed 2.5 goals against a New Zealand defense ranked among the weakest in the tournament. Historical data shows Belgium averaging over 2.5 goals per game in recent fixtures, supporting the 'Over' resolution.
New Zealand's defensive resilience and tactical discipline may limit Belgium's scoring opportunities, especially if they prioritize compactness. Belgium's recent form shows occasional struggles to break down low-block defenses, increasing the likelihood of a 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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