This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and HULIGANI in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than HULIGANI in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HULIGANI". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Unexpected roster substitutions or player availability issues
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:16:22 PM
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and HULIGANI in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 27 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than HULIGANI in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HULIGANI". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.1
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5) in the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match is currently at 50.00% probability, indicating a balanced outlook on the outcome. The handicap (-1.5) suggests a slight favorability toward Na`Vi winning by at least two games.
Na`Vi's historical dominance in Dota 2 tournaments and strong roster performance in qualifiers may justify the handicap, increasing the likelihood of a 2+ game margin victory. If Na`Vi maintains consistency and exploits HULIGANI's potential weaknesses, the bull case gains traction.
HULIGANI's underdog status and potential upsets in lower bracket matches could lead to an unexpected outcome, where HULIGANI either wins outright or limits Na`Vi's margin to fewer than 2 games. Recent form or strategic adjustments by HULIGANI may also support this scenario.
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Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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