Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Taylor's inconsistency in major tournaments
Calibrated 100% · raw 1370% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:41:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
+13.7
Opportunity
9.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Will Taylor's victory is inversely related to Robinson's assist record
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Will Taylor's victory is inversely related to Echavarria's Travelers Championship win
correlates · strength 60%
Will Taylor's victory is positively related to Arizona Cardinals' NFC West win
correlates · strength 60%
Will Taylor's victory is inversely related to Vitinha's Golden Ball win
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1370.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
50 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently assigns a 15.95% probability to Nick Taylor winning the 2026 Travelers Championship. This reflects moderate skepticism given Taylor's inconsistent recent form and the competitive field in PGA Tour events.
Nick Taylor could capitalize on his strong short-game skills and recent improvements in consistency to outperform the field. A favorable draw or conditions at TPC River Highlands may enhance his chances. Past success at the Travelers (2022 win) bolsters his profile.
Taylor's lack of recent top-tier finishes and vulnerability to pressure in high-stakes events reduce his odds. The Travelers Championship typically features elite players, making it difficult for an outside contender to prevail. Injuries or form slumps could further diminish his prospects.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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