Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Historical lack of PGA Tour wins
AI updated 6/26/2026, 12:54:07 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.2
Opportunity
0.2
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
independent
correlates · strength 60%
unrelated to 2026 Travelers Championship
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -20.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nicolas Echavarria winning the 2026 Travelers Championship shows extremely low probability (1.20%), indicating minimal confidence in his victory. The market is highly unlikely to resolve in his favor given the competitive field and historical trends.
Nicolas Echavarria could win if he experiences a significant breakthrough season in 2025-2026, capitalizing on improved form, favorable course conditions, and a weaker-than-expected field. A strong finish in early 2026 tournaments or a career-best performance at the Travelers Championship could justify this outcome.
The bear case is overwhelmingly strong; Echavarria has not won a PGA Tour event in his career, and his current ranking (outside top 100) suggests limited chances. The Travelers Championship features a deep and competitive field, making an upset highly improbable.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
