Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Uncertainty in MLP's long-term viability or organizational changes
Calibrated 100% · raw 1500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:36:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
25%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
-15.0
Opportunity
9.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1500.0¢
Entry: 22-28
—
Resolution
10d
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLP Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLP rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLP season is cancelled, postponed after September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Pickleball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market assigns a 10% probability to Hayden Patriquin winning the 2026 Major League Pickleball (MLP) MVP award. The market is highly speculative given the uncertainty around Patriquin's performance, MLP's evolving competitive landscape, and the long time horizon.
Hayden Patriquin could emerge as a dominant force in MLP by 2026 due to his rising skill level, consistent performance in prior seasons, and potential strategic advantages such as team composition or training innovations. If he secures key victories or demonstrates superior consistency in high-stakes matches, his MVP candidacy would strengthen significantly.
Patriquin faces stiff competition from established and emerging MLP players who may outperform him in 2026. Injuries, inconsistent form, or external factors like team dynamics could hinder his chances. Additionally, the MVP award might favor other metrics (e.g., team success over individual performance), reducing Patriquin's likelihood of winning.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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