Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Competitive PGA Tour field with dominant players
Calibrated 100% · raw 1305% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:40:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
+13.1
Opportunity
8.5
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Pavlović's Young Player Award win at the 2026 FIFA World Cup may have a positive impact on Kim's chances of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, as a successful FIFA World Cup can increase interest in sports and boost golf's popularity.
correlates · strength 60%
Robinson's assist record at the 2026 FIFA World Cup may be negatively correlated with Kim's chances of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, as a strong FIFA World Cup performance can draw attention away from golf and reduce Kim's visibility.
correlates · strength 60%
Echavarria's win at the 2026 Travelers Championship may be positively correlated with Kim's chances of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, as a win by a fellow golfer can increase interest in the sport and boost confidence.
correlates · strength 60%
Arizona Cardinals' 2026 NFC West win may not have a direct impact on Kim's chances of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, but a strong NFL season can increase overall sports interest and potentially benefit golf.
correlates · strength 60%
Vitinha's performance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup may impact Michael Kim's chances of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, as a strong FIFA World Cup performance can boost a player's confidence and skills, potentially translating to success in other sports like golf.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1305.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
25 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently prices Michael Kim at a 15.95% chance of winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, a PGA Tour event. This reflects his historical performance and current form relative to other competitors.
Michael Kim has shown recent form improvement with top-20 finishes in 2024 and early 2025, suggesting potential for a breakthrough victory. His consistency in tournament play and potential for career-high momentum could drive a win.
Kim has not won a PGA Tour event in over 5 years, and his career win rate remains low. The Travelers Championship has historically favored established players, reducing Kim's odds despite his participation.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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