Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incorrect categorization of the market (listed under cricket)
Calibrated 100% · raw 115% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:40:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
-1.1
Opportunity
1.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Mark Hubbard's win could be influenced by the team he is playing with, potentially leading to a correlation with related markets such as Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West?
correlates · strength 60%
Mark Hubbard's win could be affected by the performance of other golfers, potentially leading to a correlation with related markets such as Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
correlates · strength 60%
Mark Hubbard's win could be influenced by the performance of other golfers in the tournament, potentially leading to a correlation with related markets such as Will Antonee Robinson record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
correlates · strength 60%
Mark Hubbard's win could be influenced by his past performance, potentially leading to a correlation with related markets such as Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
correlates · strength 60%
Mark Hubbard's performance may be influenced by the overall performance of the golf course, which could be affected by weather conditions, leading to a correlation with related markets such as Will it rain during the 2026 Travelers Championship?
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -115.0¢
Entry: 1-7
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
10 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assigns a 3.95% probability to Mark Hubbard winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating low market confidence in his victory. The categorization under 'cricket' appears to be an error, as the Travelers Championship is a golf tournament.
Mark Hubbard, a consistent performer on the PGA Tour with multiple top-10 finishes, could capitalize on favorable course conditions or a weak field in 2026 to secure his first major victory. His experience in high-pressure tournaments and potential off-season improvements may boost his odds.
Hubbard has not won a PGA Tour event in his career, and his recent form shows inconsistency with limited top-tier finishes. Stronger competitors, potential injuries, or a crowded field could prevent him from winning, making a victory unlikely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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