Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Meissner’s limited PGA Tour experience and visibility
Calibrated 100% · raw 805% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:41:14 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
8%
Signal Score
+8.1
Opportunity
6.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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NFC West winners' performance might have an impact on individual players' performance
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Mac Meissner's performance is correlated with other golfers' performance
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 805.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
50 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market assigns an 8.35% probability to Mac Meissner winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating low market confidence in his victory. This is likely due to his limited PGA Tour presence and competition from established players.
Mac Meissner could secure the win if he enters peak form, benefits from favorable course conditions at TPC River Highlands, or if top contenders underperform due to injuries or unexpected struggles during the tournament.
Meissner’s chances are diminished by his lack of recent PGA Tour success, the high caliber of competitors (e.g., Spieth, Rahm, or Scheffler), and the tournament’s history favoring veteran players with strong short-game skills.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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