Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Emergence of higher-ranked or in-form competitors
Calibrated 100% · raw 1325% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:40:14 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
+13.3
Opportunity
9.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlation with individual performance markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlation with team performance markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlation with championship winner markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlation with tournament winner markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlation with sports outcome markets
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1325.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market currently assigns a 13.95% probability to Harry Hall winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating low market confidence in his victory. This assessment is based on historical performance data, competition strength, and tournament conditions.
Harry Hall could win the 2026 Travelers Championship if he demonstrates improved form, gains confidence from recent top-10 finishes, and benefits from favorable tournament conditions such as course setup and weather. A strong start to the 2025-2026 PGA Tour season could also bolster his odds.
Harry Hall faces stiff competition from established PGA Tour players and rising stars, with many having stronger recent performances and higher rankings. Injuries, inconsistent form, or unfavorable tournament conditions could further reduce his chances of winning.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
