Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Elimination from tournament contention before the event
Calibrated 100% · raw 1455% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:40:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
+14.6
Opportunity
10.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Benjamin James vs. Antonee Robinson: 2026 FIFA World Cup assists leader
correlates · strength 60%
Benjamin James vs. Vitinha: 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball winner
correlates · strength 60%
Benjamin James vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2026 NFC West winner
correlates · strength 60%
Benjamin James vs. Aleksandar Pavlović: 2026 FIFA World Cup Young Player Award
correlates · strength 60%
Benjamin James vs. Nicolas Echavarria: Traveler's Championship 2026 winner
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1455.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
28 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market suggests a low probability (15.5%) of Benjamin James winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating skepticism about his chances. The resolution criteria are well-defined, reducing ambiguity but introducing external risks like elimination or unlisted winners.
Benjamin James could win if he performs exceptionally well in 2025-2026, gains momentum from recent tournaments, or benefits from favorable course conditions at the Travelers Championship. A strong rivalry or injury to top contenders could also improve his odds.
The market reflects high uncertainty due to Benjamin James' current form, competition from established PGA Tour players, or potential elimination early in the tournament. External factors like weather or scheduling conflicts may further reduce his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
