Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_withdrawals
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:17:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,084
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The match between Yastremska and Maneiro has an even probability (50%) of resulting in either Over or Under 23.5 games, indicating no clear market bias. The neutral odds reflect balanced expectations for both players' styles and historical performance.
Yastremska, known for her aggressive baseline play and powerful serve, could force long rallies and multiple breaks, pushing the game total over 23.5. Maneiro's endurance and counterpunching style may also extend points, favoring higher game counts.
A quick match with minimal breaks or short service games could result in fewer than 23.5 games. Both players' serve dominance or efficient play may limit prolonged exchanges, reducing the likelihood of an Over outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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