Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to injury or withdrawal
Calibrated 100% · raw 1400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:30:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
85%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
+14.0
Opportunity
12.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,726
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1400.0¢
Entry: 82-88
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Serena Williams and Maya Joint in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Williams vs. Joint match O/U 23.5 market is overwhelmingly skewed toward the 'Over' outcome (99.45%) due to the historical dominance of Serena Williams in high-stakes WTA matches and the implied difficulty for Maya Joint to constrain the total games below 24.
Serena Williams' aggressive baseline play and serve-and-volley tendencies in Grand Slam finals historically result in long, high-paced matches with extended rallies. Maya Joint, while talented, lacks the defensive consistency to systematically shorten points against Williams, increasing the likelihood of a match exceeding 23.5 games.
Maya Joint's all-court game and superior fitness could disrupt Serena Williams' rhythm, leading to shorter, more efficient points. If Joint employs a defensive strategy (e.g., counterpunching) and capitalizes on Williams' occasional unforced errors, the total games may fall below 24, especially in a straight-sets victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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