Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:31:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,686,804
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Daria Kasatkina in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Tjen vs. Kasatkina Wimbledon WTA match O/U 23.5 games is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty due to the lack of pre-match data on their head-to-head or recent form. The 50% probability suggests no clear consensus on whether the match will exceed or fall under 23.5 total games.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5 games) is plausible if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies with frequent long points, common in grass-court matches where serve dominance is less pronounced. Kasatkina's recent performance on hard courts (where she thrives in extended rallies) could tilt the odds toward higher game totals.
A bearish outcome (Under 23.5 games) is likely if either player dominates with powerful serves, leading to quick holds and minimal break chances. Tjen's game style, if she relies on a strong serve-and-volley approach, could suppress the total games, especially in a high-pressure Wimbledon environment.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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