Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to injury or weather delays
Calibrated 100% · raw 195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:45:39 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+1.9
Opportunity
1.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,086,448
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 195.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Seidel and Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Seidel vs. Noskova Wimbledon WTA match O/U 23.5 games is heavily skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a 0.05% probability assigned to the 'Over' threshold. The extreme market probability suggests overwhelming confidence in a low-scoring match.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5) could occur if both players engage in high-intensity baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to extended points and a higher total game count. Unforced errors or inconsistent serving could also prolong sets, pushing the total toward the threshold.
The bear case (Under 23.5) is supported by the likelihood of both players adopting aggressive serving strategies, resulting in quick holds and shorter games. Additionally, the high stakes of Wimbledon may lead to tight, error-prone play, reducing the total games played.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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