Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_withdrawal
Calibrated 100% · raw 9495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:45:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
95%
Signal Score
+95.0
Opportunity
93.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,086,448
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Seidel and Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Seidel vs. Noskova over/under 22.5 games is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with an extremely low probability (0.05%) assigned to the 'Over' result. The match's early stage and potential for a straight-sets victory favor the 'Under' scenario.
A high-octane match with aggressive playstyles from both players could lead to prolonged rallies and tiebreaks, pushing the total games to 23 or more. Noskova's recent form, including her clay-court success, suggests she may push Seidel to extended sets, especially if the match goes to a third set.
Both players are known for their consistency and baseline dominance, which often results in shorter, more efficient matches. Seidel's recent performance on grass (her strongest surface) and Noskova's occasional struggles with deep runs suggest a straight-sets outcome is likely, keeping games under 23.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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